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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+2.87vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.67+2.29vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.52+1.57vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.06-0.46vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-0.53vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.87-2.13vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.17-1.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-0.89+0.97vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-1.17+0.46vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-1.87+0.52vs Predicted
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11Colgate University-1.27-1.30vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-1.20-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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4.29Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.57Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.54U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.87Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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5.18Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.46Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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10.52SUNY Stony Brook-1.870.0%1st Place
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9.7Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.56Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 16.2% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 11.8% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 12.2% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Linden | 18.1% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 17.0% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 15.7% | 22.5% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 8.9% |
| Zachary Baum | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 20.7% | 21.9% | 12.8% |
| Jan Ziembicki | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 42.8% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 21.6% | 18.8% |
| Diego Becerra | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.