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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.86+1.13vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.56+4.44vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota1.95+0.09vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University1.25+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.31-0.36vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.57-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.37-4.87vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-0.02-0.05vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago0.49-2.23vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois0.38-3.04vs Predicted
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13Marquette University0.56-4.56vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.96-2.19vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.55-2.33vs Predicted
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16Michigan State University-0.32-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Wisconsin3.360.3%1st Place
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3.13University of Michigan2.860.2%1st Place
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8.44Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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6.79Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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5.7Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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9.95Northern Michigan University-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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8.44Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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11.81Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Michigan-1.550.0%1st Place
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10.42Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 34.5% | 25.3% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 22.3% | 21.3% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 6.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 5.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 14.2% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Betsy Grant | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Gay | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Josh Jacobson | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 27.3% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Nachiketa Tiwari | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 54.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.