← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.81+2.05vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University-1.38+1.20vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.65+2.89vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.52-0.34vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University-0.27+1.91vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.58-0.57vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University0.01-0.52vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.03-1.55vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.09-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05College of Charleston1.8125.2%1st Place
-
3.2Jacksonville University-1.3821.4%1st Place
-
5.89Christopher Newport University0.655.1%1st Place
-
3.66Old Dominion University1.5217.0%1st Place
-
6.91Florida State University-0.273.0%1st Place
-
5.43Rollins College0.586.1%1st Place
-
6.48North Carolina State University0.013.6%1st Place
-
6.45University of Miami-0.033.4%1st Place
-
3.94University of South Florida1.0915.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 25.2% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 21.4% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 12.4% |
| Marina Conde | 17.0% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 33.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 21.3% | 21.7% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 22.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.0% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.