Race 1B

maisa-north-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gerard Eastman 36.5% 26.6% 16.5% 10.3% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Cooper 19.5% 20.6% 18.8% 15.9% 10.8% 7.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 14.8% 13.4% 17.3% 13.9% 15.5% 12.1% 7.2% 3.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Alfano 8.8% 12.5% 13.6% 15.2% 14.4% 13.0% 9.0% 7.2% 3.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Clara Gravely 5.8% 7.5% 9.3% 12.5% 12.9% 13.0% 10.9% 10.7% 8.7% 5.6% 2.7% 0.4%
Samuel Parsons 3.1% 4.2% 4.5% 7.4% 8.1% 9.3% 12.3% 13.5% 13.4% 11.3% 9.9% 3.0%
Kelsey Bonham 2.1% 3.0% 3.7% 3.7% 6.0% 6.9% 8.0% 12.0% 12.9% 15.8% 17.0% 8.9%
Dane Brazinski 1.6% 2.5% 3.6% 4.2% 4.2% 6.1% 9.5% 10.2% 11.8% 17.1% 19.2% 10.0%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 4.2% 7.3% 8.2% 12.7% 12.7% 15.3% 14.0% 12.6% 4.9%
Chloe Headrick 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 1.6% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 6.7% 13.3% 63.8%
Jonathan Gorman 3.2% 3.6% 5.1% 7.2% 9.1% 10.5% 12.4% 12.9% 14.3% 10.8% 7.9% 3.0%
James Reynolds 2.2% 3.0% 3.7% 4.0% 4.3% 8.6% 10.1% 12.5% 13.3% 15.8% 16.6% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.