Race 2B

maisa-north-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Alfano 9.3% 10.5% 13.8% 14.4% 16.7% 13.4% 8.9% 6.2% 4.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Thomas Cooper 18.7% 22.1% 18.4% 16.5% 10.7% 6.8% 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 2.2% 4.0% 2.8% 5.7% 5.5% 8.1% 9.6% 11.4% 13.4% 17.4% 14.1% 5.8%
Samuel Parsons 2.1% 3.4% 5.7% 6.5% 9.2% 12.0% 12.8% 11.9% 12.7% 11.1% 9.3% 3.3%
Jack Carminati 13.6% 15.8% 16.4% 16.1% 11.9% 10.7% 7.4% 4.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Clara Gravely 5.4% 8.9% 8.0% 10.3% 12.5% 14.5% 13.8% 11.1% 8.8% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5%
Gerard Eastman 40.4% 21.4% 18.5% 10.3% 5.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Bonham 1.4% 2.8% 4.4% 4.2% 6.1% 7.2% 7.8% 10.9% 13.1% 14.7% 18.3% 9.1%
Dane Brazinski 1.5% 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 5.0% 5.5% 11.1% 12.2% 12.6% 17.0% 18.6% 7.9%
Chloe Headrick 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.5% 7.5% 12.3% 64.3%
Jonathan Gorman 2.9% 4.6% 5.3% 7.4% 9.4% 9.2% 12.3% 13.0% 14.0% 11.8% 7.1% 3.0%
James Reynolds 2.1% 4.0% 3.2% 3.7% 5.6% 8.2% 9.0% 13.3% 14.3% 13.1% 17.5% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.