Race 3B

maisa-north-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gerard Eastman 37.8% 26.5% 18.2% 9.8% 3.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 12.5% 18.7% 17.9% 16.5% 13.3% 11.1% 7.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Cooper 21.8% 19.5% 21.4% 16.9% 10.4% 6.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Gravely 5.3% 7.9% 10.2% 15.2% 14.5% 14.1% 16.0% 9.4% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
James Reynolds 1.9% 3.2% 4.3% 4.7% 8.2% 10.4% 13.6% 17.6% 17.7% 12.5% 5.4% 0.5%
Matthew Alfano 11.0% 11.6% 13.7% 16.2% 18.0% 12.8% 9.7% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Parsons 3.7% 5.3% 5.3% 7.7% 10.6% 13.8% 17.0% 16.2% 12.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 2.4% 3.8% 4.9% 5.8% 9.4% 10.0% 12.9% 17.8% 17.6% 9.5% 4.9% 1.0%
Dane Brazinski 2.3% 1.8% 2.2% 3.8% 6.2% 12.2% 12.0% 18.2% 18.7% 16.2% 5.7% 0.7%
Benjamin Parker 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 2.1% 3.4% 2.4% 4.0% 6.9% 12.2% 25.3% 27.6% 14.1%
Lucas Cardaci 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 4.0% 8.8% 18.3% 62.8%
Chloe Headrick 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 3.0% 3.3% 4.4% 9.7% 19.2% 35.7% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.