Race 4B

maisa-north-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

91.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Thomas Cooper 19.7% 21.6% 22.1% 16.1% 10.5% 6.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 38.1% 28.3% 14.8% 10.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 15.1% 15.1% 18.2% 15.6% 15.0% 12.2% 5.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Alfano 8.5% 13.5% 16.7% 16.1% 15.9% 13.6% 8.6% 3.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Gravely 7.1% 6.5% 10.3% 14.7% 14.9% 15.2% 13.4% 9.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
James Reynolds 2.1% 2.7% 3.8% 6.2% 7.3% 10.6% 13.9% 18.5% 17.0% 13.0% 4.1% 0.8%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 2.5% 3.7% 4.4% 5.4% 9.1% 9.9% 16.1% 16.5% 15.9% 10.7% 4.7% 1.1%
Samuel Parsons 3.7% 5.9% 4.7% 7.3% 11.1% 14.1% 14.1% 16.9% 13.9% 5.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Dane Brazinski 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 4.5% 6.3% 10.5% 15.2% 16.4% 19.9% 15.6% 5.3% 0.5%
Benjamin Parker 0.5% 0.4% 1.5% 1.8% 3.0% 2.2% 5.3% 5.7% 13.2% 24.0% 28.7% 13.7%
Chloe Headrick 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 2.4% 2.8% 6.4% 8.1% 19.8% 33.3% 23.0%
Lucas Cardaci 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 2.9% 3.0% 8.1% 21.1% 60.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.