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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.27+1.31vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.29+1.75vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.43+4.08vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.51+1.26vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.68-1.88vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.50+1.26vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.99-2.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.57vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.72-1.41vs Predicted
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10Colgate University-1.86-0.36vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.12-0.85vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-3.00-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Cornell University2.270.4%1st Place
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3.75U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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7.08Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.26Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
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3.12Fordham University1.680.2%1st Place
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7.26Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.27Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.59Syracuse University-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.64Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
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11.14SUNY Stony Brook-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Eastman | 36.6% | 27.0% | 18.4% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 12.8% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Clara Gravely | 4.7% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 22.7% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Reynolds | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Alfano | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parsons | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Dane Brazinski | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Parker | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 24.1% | 29.3% | 13.8% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 19.7% | 33.4% | 23.3% |
| Lucas Cardaci | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 21.5% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.