Race 6B

maisa-north-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gerard Eastman 37.7% 27.0% 17.7% 9.8% 4.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 12.9% 17.5% 18.6% 16.1% 15.3% 10.6% 5.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Cooper 22.0% 20.0% 21.4% 15.0% 11.8% 6.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Gravely 4.9% 8.7% 9.6% 15.1% 14.3% 15.3% 14.8% 9.9% 4.7% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
James Reynolds 2.0% 3.2% 4.8% 4.5% 7.8% 10.4% 14.8% 15.7% 18.3% 12.8% 5.1% 0.6%
Matthew Alfano 10.9% 11.7% 13.4% 17.3% 17.2% 13.0% 8.5% 5.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 2.9% 4.2% 3.6% 6.6% 7.9% 11.7% 12.9% 18.3% 16.0% 10.5% 4.7% 0.7%
Benjamin Parker 0.6% 0.1% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 4.3% 5.0% 6.7% 11.8% 23.7% 29.1% 13.4%
Samuel Parsons 3.1% 4.0% 4.4% 7.6% 12.4% 15.2% 17.7% 15.4% 12.0% 5.9% 2.2% 0.1%
Dane Brazinski 1.7% 2.5% 4.5% 4.7% 5.4% 8.1% 12.2% 16.1% 22.2% 14.3% 7.4% 0.9%
Chloe Headrick 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 3.6% 6.1% 8.2% 19.9% 33.5% 22.2%
Lucas Cardaci 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 2.8% 3.3% 9.9% 17.7% 62.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.