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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.27+1.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.29+2.03vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.68+0.26vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.51+1.74vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-0.50+3.09vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99-1.32vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.43+0.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-0.89vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.72-0.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.12+0.88vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-3.87vs Predicted
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12Colgate University-0.64-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Cornell University2.270.4%1st Place
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4.03U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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3.26Fordham University1.680.2%1st Place
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5.74Queen's University0.510.1%1st Place
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8.09Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.68Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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7.75Columbia University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.5Syracuse University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Military Academy-2.120.0%1st Place
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7.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.43Colgate University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Eastman | 36.3% | 25.4% | 18.5% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Carminati | 12.2% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 20.5% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clara Gravely | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| James Reynolds | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 7.9% |
| Matthew Alfano | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 5.2% |
| Samuel Parsons | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Dane Brazinski | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 8.5% |
| Chloe Headrick | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 63.8% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Kelsey Bonham | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.