Race 8B

maisa-north-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Thomas Cooper 19.8% 18.4% 21.8% 15.9% 9.8% 7.7% 3.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 35.0% 28.8% 15.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 14.4% 14.6% 15.8% 16.4% 13.8% 12.3% 6.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Clara Gravely 5.1% 7.4% 8.4% 13.3% 13.7% 10.9% 14.3% 10.7% 8.8% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
James Reynolds 1.7% 3.0% 3.8% 4.9% 5.8% 7.4% 10.1% 12.0% 12.3% 15.9% 16.1% 7.0%
Matthew Alfano 10.4% 10.6% 14.1% 13.6% 13.7% 14.1% 10.4% 6.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Kelsey Bonham 2.1% 3.2% 2.9% 3.6% 5.3% 8.1% 8.8% 12.1% 12.3% 15.2% 18.6% 7.8%
Samuel Parsons 3.8% 5.1% 4.9% 6.3% 8.9% 9.3% 10.8% 14.0% 13.8% 12.0% 8.0% 3.1%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 2.3% 2.4% 3.9% 4.6% 6.7% 8.8% 11.0% 14.5% 14.3% 14.3% 13.7% 3.5%
Dane Brazinski 1.8% 2.2% 4.0% 3.4% 5.1% 6.1% 8.4% 9.8% 13.6% 17.2% 18.4% 10.0%
Jonathan Gorman 3.3% 3.5% 4.6% 7.1% 9.9% 10.6% 12.0% 12.3% 14.4% 11.5% 8.0% 2.8%
Chloe Headrick 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 3.5% 2.4% 3.7% 5.8% 14.5% 65.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.