Race 9B

maisa-north-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gerard Eastman 36.1% 27.6% 18.4% 8.9% 5.6% 1.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Reynolds 2.1% 1.8% 4.2% 5.4% 7.6% 8.9% 12.6% 14.9% 16.8% 17.7% 7.0% 1.0%
Thomas Cooper 21.1% 21.3% 17.5% 18.1% 11.0% 6.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Gravely 5.4% 7.3% 9.9% 14.4% 14.5% 14.5% 14.7% 9.4% 6.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Jack Carminati 13.4% 16.8% 18.3% 15.2% 13.2% 12.0% 5.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Alfano 10.7% 10.0% 14.8% 17.1% 16.0% 12.8% 10.1% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Parsons 3.9% 4.6% 5.0% 7.8% 10.0% 12.3% 13.9% 17.1% 11.1% 10.0% 3.6% 0.7%
Kelsey Bonham 1.5% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 7.0% 8.4% 10.2% 13.1% 16.7% 19.3% 10.4% 2.0%
Dane Brazinski 2.3% 1.9% 2.3% 3.4% 6.5% 10.1% 11.1% 14.0% 18.4% 19.4% 9.9% 0.7%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 2.3% 4.2% 4.8% 4.1% 7.1% 10.1% 12.9% 16.5% 17.2% 12.8% 7.0% 1.0%
Chloe Headrick 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 6.8% 11.4% 42.2% 26.4%
Lucas Cardaci 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 2.7% 4.3% 19.1% 68.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.