Race 10B

maisa-north-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Thomas Cooper 20.2% 19.5% 23.0% 16.0% 10.4% 5.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 35.9% 30.1% 14.0% 12.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 14.2% 15.0% 19.2% 15.0% 15.3% 11.0% 7.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Brazinski 0.9% 2.6% 3.1% 3.8% 5.6% 7.6% 13.2% 12.3% 16.4% 20.9% 11.4% 2.2%
Clara Gravely 6.8% 6.9% 9.1% 15.4% 12.9% 13.3% 13.7% 10.2% 6.6% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Matthew Alfano 10.5% 11.4% 14.1% 14.8% 17.6% 13.5% 7.8% 6.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
James Reynolds 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.7% 6.9% 11.0% 11.0% 15.6% 17.2% 14.8% 7.1% 1.8%
Kelsey Bonham 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 5.2% 5.8% 8.6% 10.4% 14.6% 17.4% 17.8% 10.5% 1.7%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 2.9% 2.5% 4.0% 4.7% 7.8% 12.8% 13.1% 16.5% 15.8% 14.1% 5.3% 0.5%
Samuel Parsons 3.3% 5.1% 5.1% 6.7% 10.2% 11.3% 16.3% 15.4% 13.3% 9.5% 3.5% 0.3%
Lucas Cardaci 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.9% 1.7% 3.0% 5.0% 17.3% 69.1%
Chloe Headrick 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.6% 2.4% 4.2% 6.4% 11.7% 44.1% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.