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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.58+4.43vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+1.05vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.01+3.42vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38-0.66vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52-1.45vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.27+0.98vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.09-4.05vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.03-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Rollins College0.587.0%1st Place
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3.05College of Charleston1.8123.8%1st Place
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6.42North Carolina State University0.014.7%1st Place
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3.34Jacksonville University-1.3819.8%1st Place
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3.55Old Dominion University1.5218.6%1st Place
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6.98Florida State University-0.272.7%1st Place
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5.86Christopher Newport University0.655.4%1st Place
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3.95University of South Florida1.0913.9%1st Place
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6.43University of Miami-0.034.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Bridge | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 8.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 23.8% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 20.2% | 21.6% |
| Emily Allen | 19.8% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 18.6% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 33.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.