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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.86+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.37+1.09vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.57+1.00vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University1.25+0.82vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.56+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota1.95-3.12vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-0.02+0.75vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.56-1.43vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-0.32-0.46vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois0.38-2.97vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago0.49-4.28vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.96-2.20vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.31-8.49vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.55-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Wisconsin3.360.3%1st Place
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3.13University of Michigan2.860.2%1st Place
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4.09University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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6.0Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.82Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.57Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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9.75Northern Michigan University-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.57Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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10.54Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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11.8Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Michigan-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 34.9% | 25.7% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 22.4% | 19.9% | 21.5% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Betsy Grant | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Gay | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Josh Jacobson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 27.8% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nachiketa Tiwari | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 20.1% | 53.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.