Race 11B

maisa-north-series

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gerard Eastman 38.6% 25.0% 18.3% 10.8% 3.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Gravely 4.9% 9.0% 12.3% 12.0% 15.5% 13.7% 15.7% 8.1% 5.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Dane Brazinski 3.0% 2.2% 2.5% 4.9% 6.2% 9.0% 9.9% 15.1% 17.0% 19.0% 8.9% 2.3%
Matthew Alfano 8.9% 14.9% 15.9% 15.0% 15.0% 13.4% 9.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
James Reynolds 1.8% 3.2% 4.0% 5.9% 7.1% 12.4% 12.4% 14.4% 15.3% 14.7% 7.4% 1.4%
Thomas Cooper 20.8% 22.1% 18.3% 16.7% 12.3% 6.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 3.5% 3.1% 4.3% 6.7% 9.0% 11.0% 14.6% 14.1% 14.1% 13.1% 5.4% 1.1%
Lucas Cardaci 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 2.5% 2.8% 4.1% 5.2% 18.7% 64.4%
Kelsey Bonham 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 5.0% 7.9% 10.6% 12.6% 16.7% 17.3% 14.8% 7.3% 1.8%
Jack Carminati 13.8% 16.0% 19.7% 17.0% 14.7% 8.9% 5.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tanner Comer 2.3% 1.7% 1.8% 4.7% 6.4% 8.6% 10.8% 15.3% 16.2% 18.1% 11.2% 2.9%
Chloe Headrick 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.9% 2.7% 3.7% 4.2% 6.7% 11.7% 40.6% 26.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.