Race 12B

maisa-north-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gerard Eastman 35.6% 27.1% 16.8% 11.6% 5.1% 1.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 12.2% 16.6% 18.0% 14.6% 14.0% 10.7% 8.4% 3.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Cooper 21.0% 19.0% 20.9% 14.5% 12.7% 6.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
James Reynolds 1.6% 3.0% 3.4% 4.7% 5.4% 9.5% 10.1% 13.8% 14.5% 15.4% 13.3% 5.3%
Pierre Casenave-Pere 2.2% 3.0% 4.6% 4.7% 7.7% 8.6% 10.6% 11.4% 15.0% 14.8% 12.3% 5.1%
Matthew Alfano 10.8% 11.1% 12.4% 16.5% 14.6% 13.1% 9.4% 7.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Tanner Comer 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 3.7% 5.8% 7.4% 8.4% 12.9% 12.4% 16.5% 17.4% 8.0%
Kelsey Bonham 1.8% 2.9% 3.5% 5.7% 4.3% 8.3% 8.6% 10.4% 15.4% 16.1% 15.5% 7.5%
Clara Gravely 6.3% 7.4% 9.6% 12.2% 15.5% 13.4% 13.1% 10.7% 7.1% 2.9% 1.7% 0.1%
Jonathan Gorman 4.1% 4.9% 5.6% 6.9% 9.0% 11.9% 14.3% 13.8% 13.5% 7.9% 6.4% 1.7%
Dane Brazinski 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 3.8% 4.4% 6.8% 9.2% 12.5% 12.4% 17.5% 18.5% 9.3%
Chloe Headrick 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 3.2% 2.7% 4.1% 7.0% 14.2% 63.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.