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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-1.15+3.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27-0.47vs Predicted
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3Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-0.15vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.53-1.54vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.71vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-3.92-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Bates College-1.150.1%1st Place
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1.53Tufts University1.270.6%1st Place
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3.05Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.46McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.29Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.66Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Goodell | 5.8% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 20.7% | 25.0% | 19.0% | 2.8% |
| Evan Robison | 63.7% | 24.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 12.3% | 26.1% | 26.0% | 20.2% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 6.9% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 20.7% | 26.0% | 11.7% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Behr | 9.0% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 24.1% | 16.1% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 49.0% | 11.5% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 9.3% | 82.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.