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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+2.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27-0.44vs Predicted
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3Bates College-1.15+1.22vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.53-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-1.17vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.74vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-3.92-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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1.56Tufts University1.270.6%1st Place
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4.22Bates College-1.150.1%1st Place
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3.45McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.26Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.68Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Reynolds | 14.0% | 29.1% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Evan Robison | 61.5% | 25.2% | 10.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Goodell | 5.8% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 29.0% | 17.1% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Behr | 9.2% | 18.2% | 24.3% | 22.2% | 19.3% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 7.2% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 24.5% | 20.4% | 12.5% | 1.9% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 49.6% | 10.8% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 9.9% | 82.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.