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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81+2.70vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27-0.46vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.53+0.43vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.88vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.15-0.74vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.72vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-3.92-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.1%1st Place
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1.54Tufts University1.270.6%1st Place
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3.43McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.12Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.26Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.28Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.66Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 7.8% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 12.1% | 1.3% |
| Evan Robison | 62.7% | 25.3% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Behr | 9.9% | 19.1% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 12.7% | 24.3% | 24.8% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Carter Goodell | 4.5% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 27.7% | 18.1% | 3.5% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 2.1% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 48.4% | 11.8% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 9.6% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.