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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+1.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27-0.45vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.53+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-0.19vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.15-0.74vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.72vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-3.92-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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1.55Tufts University1.270.6%1st Place
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3.44McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.26Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.28Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.66Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Reynolds | 14.3% | 28.3% | 22.8% | 18.0% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Evan Robison | 62.2% | 25.1% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Behr | 9.6% | 18.0% | 25.7% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 6.8% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 22.6% | 24.3% | 11.0% | 1.3% |
| Carter Goodell | 4.8% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 23.0% | 25.4% | 18.8% | 3.6% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 48.6% | 11.6% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 9.7% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.