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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+0.54vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.53+1.37vs Predicted
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3Bates College-1.15+1.24vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-1.18vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.74vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-3.92-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Tufts University1.270.6%1st Place
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3.37McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.24Bates College-1.150.1%1st Place
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3.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.26Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.68Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 62.0% | 26.4% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Behr | 10.1% | 20.4% | 23.8% | 22.1% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 0.5% |
| Carter Goodell | 5.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 29.2% | 17.3% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 13.3% | 24.2% | 25.6% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 7.0% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 23.7% | 20.7% | 12.5% | 1.8% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 2.1% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 48.4% | 11.0% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 9.9% | 83.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.