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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+0.51vs Predicted
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2Bates College-1.15+2.24vs Predicted
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3Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-0.20vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.53-1.54vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.73vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-3.92-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51Tufts University1.270.6%1st Place
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4.24Bates College-1.150.1%1st Place
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3.05Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.1%1st Place
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3.46McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.27Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.67Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 63.8% | 25.2% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Goodell | 5.1% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 26.2% | 19.3% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 11.8% | 27.9% | 24.0% | 20.7% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 7.7% | 13.5% | 20.5% | 21.4% | 24.1% | 11.6% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Behr | 9.2% | 19.1% | 23.7% | 22.5% | 17.3% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 48.4% | 11.3% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 9.7% | 82.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.