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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+0.52vs Predicted
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2Bates College-1.15+2.22vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.53+0.42vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-1.18vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.74vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-3.92-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Tufts University1.270.6%1st Place
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4.22Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
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3.42McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.26Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.67Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 63.6% | 25.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Goodell | 4.6% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 21.2% | 27.2% | 17.9% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Behr | 9.0% | 21.3% | 22.5% | 22.3% | 16.7% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 13.6% | 24.4% | 24.9% | 19.2% | 12.7% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 6.9% | 14.4% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 22.7% | 12.0% | 1.9% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 47.6% | 11.4% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 10.1% | 82.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.