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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+2.01vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.27-0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81+0.78vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.15+0.26vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.53-1.52vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.00-0.76vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-3.92-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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1.56Tufts University1.270.6%1st Place
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3.78University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.26Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
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3.48McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.24Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.67Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Reynolds | 14.3% | 27.7% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 12.0% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Evan Robison | 62.7% | 23.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 7.5% | 13.4% | 21.3% | 22.7% | 23.2% | 9.9% | 2.0% |
| Carter Goodell | 4.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 27.3% | 20.2% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Behr | 8.4% | 19.1% | 24.2% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Jesus Esgueva | 2.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 48.0% | 10.7% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 9.1% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.