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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.37+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.86+0.21vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University1.25+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.95-0.86vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.57-0.97vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.56+0.21vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.56-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.31-3.46vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago0.49-2.30vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-0.32-1.35vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.96-1.13vs Predicted
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14Northern Michigan University-0.02-4.11vs Predicted
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15University of Illinois0.38-6.14vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.55-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of Wisconsin3.360.4%1st Place
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4.03University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Michigan2.860.2%1st Place
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6.76Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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6.03Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.21Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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8.21Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Michigan1.310.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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10.65Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.87Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.89Northern Michigan University-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Michigan-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 35.5% | 27.8% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 12.7% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 21.1% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 6.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Josh Jacobson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 28.2% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| Betsy Grant | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Gay | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nachiketa Tiwari | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 19.7% | 52.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.