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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+2.03vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.58+3.45vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+0.61vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.65+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03+1.48vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-2.73vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.27-0.08vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.01-1.60vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03College of Charleston1.8124.1%1st Place
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5.45Rollins College0.586.8%1st Place
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3.61Old Dominion University1.5217.8%1st Place
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5.95Christopher Newport University0.654.6%1st Place
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6.48University of Miami-0.033.4%1st Place
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3.27Jacksonville University-1.3821.3%1st Place
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6.92Florida State University-0.272.8%1st Place
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6.4North Carolina State University0.013.9%1st Place
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3.88University of South Florida1.0915.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 24.1% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 8.5% |
| Marina Conde | 17.8% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 13.4% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
| Emily Allen | 21.3% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 33.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 20.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.4% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.