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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+1.78vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.84+2.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.07-1.70vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.49-0.33vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.09+0.75vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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4.1McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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1.3Tufts University2.070.7%1st Place
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3.67Bates College-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.75Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
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4.85Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Holt | 12.5% | 36.9% | 24.8% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Finn Bascio | 3.6% | 10.8% | 21.6% | 24.0% | 20.9% | 13.8% | 5.3% |
| Connor Sheridan | 74.6% | 21.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Deplanck | 5.0% | 16.9% | 25.4% | 24.6% | 17.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Emily Graham | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 25.7% | 41.5% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.8% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 24.1% | 22.2% | 16.0% |
| Alex Cooper | 1.5% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 15.9% | 28.6% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.