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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.07+0.29vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.84+2.11vs Predicted
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3Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.27vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.49-0.32vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.09+0.76vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29Tufts University2.070.8%1st Place
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4.11McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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2.73Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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3.68Bates College-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.76Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
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4.87Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sheridan | 77.4% | 17.6% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Finn Bascio | 3.7% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 24.2% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 5.3% |
| John Holt | 10.8% | 40.2% | 26.6% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Claire Deplanck | 4.1% | 18.6% | 24.1% | 24.5% | 18.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Emily Graham | 0.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 25.2% | 41.6% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.8% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 24.1% | 22.0% | 16.0% |
| Alex Cooper | 1.4% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 28.4% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.