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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.44+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.86+1.56vs Predicted
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3Auburn University-0.36+5.05vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.91-1.84vs Predicted
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5University of Tennessee-0.03+2.25vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-0.42vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.54+1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-0.63+0.39vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.34-2.45vs Predicted
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10Clemson University2.14-6.92vs Predicted
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11Davidson College-0.90-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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3.56University of South Carolina1.860.1%1st Place
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8.05Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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2.16College of Charleston2.910.4%1st Place
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7.25University of Tennessee-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.58Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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8.12Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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6.55University of North Carolina0.340.0%1st Place
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3.08Clemson University2.140.2%1st Place
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8.83Davidson College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Tucker | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Fewell | 14.8% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 16.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 40.5% | 26.6% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Reisinger | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Megan Ploch | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fulford | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 17.9% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 22.7% |
| Thompson Betts | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| TJ Danilek | 20.7% | 23.5% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Welch | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.