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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.52+2.77vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+1.06vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.03+2.45vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.58+0.40vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.27+0.85vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65-1.16vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.01-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Old Dominion University1.5215.9%1st Place
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3.06College of Charleston1.8124.1%1st Place
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3.28Jacksonville University-1.3821.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Miami-0.033.8%1st Place
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5.4Rollins College0.587.5%1st Place
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6.85Florida State University-0.272.9%1st Place
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5.84Christopher Newport University0.655.9%1st Place
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6.48North Carolina State University0.014.2%1st Place
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3.87University of South Florida1.0914.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 15.9% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 24.1% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 21.1% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 22.7% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 7.6% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 31.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 12.5% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 23.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.5% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.