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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.86+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.95+2.01vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University1.25+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.37-1.81vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.57-1.04vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago0.49+0.42vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.02+0.82vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.56-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.31-4.41vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-0.32-1.32vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.96-1.07vs Predicted
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14Northern Michigan University-0.02-4.19vs Predicted
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15University of Illinois-0.95-3.17vs Predicted
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16Marquette University0.56-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of Wisconsin3.360.4%1st Place
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3.1University of Michigan2.860.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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6.75Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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5.96Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Michigan-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.47Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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10.68Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.93Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.81Northern Michigan University-0.020.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Illinois-0.950.0%1st Place
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8.47Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 36.3% | 25.1% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 22.8% | 21.7% | 20.7% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 10.2% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| William Grant | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Jacobson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 22.8% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Betsy Grant | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Glen Ko | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 23.6% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.