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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.86+2.65vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.44+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Tennessee-0.03+4.38vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.91-1.85vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.14-1.87vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.54+2.32vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-1.60vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina0.34-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-0.63-0.51vs Predicted
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10Auburn University-0.36-2.16vs Predicted
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11Davidson College-0.90-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of South Carolina1.860.1%1st Place
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4.36North Carolina State University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Tennessee-0.030.0%1st Place
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2.15College of Charleston2.910.4%1st Place
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3.13Clemson University2.140.2%1st Place
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8.32Duke University-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.4Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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6.45University of North Carolina0.340.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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7.84Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.82Davidson College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Fewell | 12.5% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Reisinger | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 8.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 40.7% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 20.0% | 20.8% | 22.5% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fulford | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 20.1% | 20.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Thompson Betts | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 24.6% |
| Sara Boyd | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 12.5% |
| Caitlin Welch | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.