Race 4A

north-points

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Shannon 43.3% 25.9% 16.1% 10.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Tucker 9.3% 12.3% 15.6% 18.5% 15.0% 12.9% 9.2% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2%
TJ Danilek 16.8% 22.2% 21.8% 16.7% 11.4% 7.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Harrison Reisinger 2.1% 2.7% 3.7% 4.8% 8.4% 9.3% 14.0% 16.5% 17.0% 12.4% 9.1%
John Fewell 15.7% 18.0% 17.6% 19.3% 13.2% 8.6% 5.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2%
Thompson Betts 2.8% 4.7% 5.1% 7.5% 12.5% 11.6% 16.3% 15.1% 12.2% 8.1% 4.1%
Caitlin Welch 1.0% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 2.8% 5.7% 8.6% 10.4% 13.8% 19.8% 31.1%
Avery Fulford 1.7% 1.3% 2.1% 3.5% 4.2% 10.2% 11.8% 11.6% 16.3% 18.3% 19.0%
Megan Ploch 5.2% 6.8% 8.5% 11.1% 16.9% 15.9% 12.1% 12.1% 6.7% 3.2% 1.5%
Jennifer Cahalan 0.8% 2.0% 2.8% 2.6% 5.6% 8.2% 9.6% 9.4% 16.6% 19.2% 23.2%
Sara Boyd 1.3% 2.0% 4.5% 3.2% 6.6% 9.7% 10.1% 16.7% 15.6% 18.7% 11.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.