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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.53+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.25+1.47vs Predicted
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3Auburn University-1.72+4.88vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54-1.76vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.67-0.83vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-0.50vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-2.33+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.54-0.60vs Predicted
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9Duke University-2.07-0.58vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-1.59-2.53vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-2.71-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47College of Charleston3.530.6%1st Place
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3.47University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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7.88Auburn University-1.720.0%1st Place
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2.24North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.17Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.7Davidson College-2.330.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
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8.42Duke University-2.070.0%1st Place
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7.47University of North Carolina-1.590.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Tennessee-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Benn Smith | 63.5% | 28.0% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 6.3% | 12.6% | 35.2% | 26.9% | 12.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Koser | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| Scott Harris | 22.6% | 42.9% | 25.1% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.3% | 8.4% | 16.5% | 32.8% | 20.4% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 1.3% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 26.6% | 22.2% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Marshall Brady | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 21.2% | 23.0% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 4.4% |
| Charles York | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 18.1% |
| Grace DeSena | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 5.9% |
| Alex Marshall | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.