← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.75+2.14vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.21vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.93vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.25-0.04vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.89-0.28vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.49-0.34vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.60-1.54vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.62vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.06-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.14College of Charleston3.750.3%1st Place
-
4.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
4.93U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
3.96U. S. Naval Academy3.250.2%1st Place
-
4.72Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
5.66George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.46Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.38SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.55Georgetown University2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 25.4% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 12.1% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 6.8% |
| Connor Bayless | 15.7% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Jack Elkin | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 13.7% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 11.0% |
| John Lawless | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 25.7% |
| Thomas McCann | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.