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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.25+3.09vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.75+1.28vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.60+2.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.81vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.06+1.38vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.49-0.36vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89-2.11vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.61vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09U. S. Naval Academy3.250.2%1st Place
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3.28College of Charleston3.750.2%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.81U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University2.060.0%1st Place
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5.64George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.89Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.39SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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4.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bayless | 16.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Augie Dale | 21.3% | 22.6% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 12.9% |
| Maxwell Brill | 9.6% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% |
| Thomas McCann | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 28.6% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 12.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 10.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| John Lawless | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 26.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 17.2% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.