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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+2.26vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+0.99vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.58+2.33vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52-0.30vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+0.98vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.01+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.03-0.51vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.27-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Jacksonville University-1.3820.9%1st Place
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2.99College of Charleston1.8124.1%1st Place
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5.33Rollins College0.586.5%1st Place
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3.7Old Dominion University1.5217.8%1st Place
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5.98Christopher Newport University0.654.6%1st Place
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6.47North Carolina State University0.014.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Miami-0.033.3%1st Place
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6.84Florida State University-0.273.8%1st Place
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3.94University of South Florida1.0914.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 20.9% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 24.1% | 22.8% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Marina Conde | 17.8% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 12.3% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 23.5% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 22.9% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 31.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.9% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.