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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.95+2.88vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.56+4.38vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University1.25+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.37-1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.86-3.69vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.57-2.31vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.31-2.49vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago0.49-1.30vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-0.32-0.33vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.56-3.62vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.96-1.03vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.02-4.10vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-0.02-5.23vs Predicted
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16University of Illinois-0.95-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of Wisconsin3.360.4%1st Place
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4.88University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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8.38Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.75Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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4.23University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Michigan2.860.2%1st Place
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5.69Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Michigan1.310.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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10.67Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.38Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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11.97Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Michigan-0.020.0%1st Place
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9.77Northern Michigan University-0.020.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Illinois-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 36.4% | 24.7% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 10.4% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 19.5% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Josh Jacobson | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
| William Grant | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Betsy Grant | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Glen Ko | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 22.8% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.