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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+2.15vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.14+4.61vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+1.90vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.49+1.56vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.18vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.60-1.56vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.06-1.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.25-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15College of Charleston3.750.2%1st Place
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6.61SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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4.9Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.56George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.44Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.54Georgetown University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.05U. S. Naval Academy3.250.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 24.3% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| John Lawless | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 27.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 6.6% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 12.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 17.4% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Maxwell Brill | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.8% |
| Thomas McCann | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 30.5% |
| Connor Bayless | 15.2% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.