← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.75+2.15vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.05vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.25+1.13vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.10vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.89-0.28vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.60-0.60vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.06-0.38vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.62vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.49-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.15College of Charleston3.750.2%1st Place
-
5.05U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
4.13U. S. Naval Academy3.250.2%1st Place
-
3.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
-
4.72Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
5.4Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.62Georgetown University2.060.0%1st Place
-
6.38SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.66George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 24.3% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.6% |
| Connor Bayless | 15.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 15.8% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% |
| Thomas McCann | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 29.1% |
| John Lawless | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 26.1% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.