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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.07vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+3.04vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.49+2.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.75vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.60+0.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.25-1.98vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.75-3.87vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.63vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.06-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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5.04Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.75George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.75U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.33Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Naval Academy3.250.2%1st Place
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3.13College of Charleston3.750.3%1st Place
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6.37SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.54Georgetown University2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McCarthy | 15.1% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 13.5% |
| Maxwell Brill | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Brad Seferian | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% |
| Connor Bayless | 15.9% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Augie Dale | 25.5% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| John Lawless | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 25.6% |
| Thomas McCann | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.