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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Liam McCarthy 15.1% 16.3% 12.7% 14.3% 13.4% 11.1% 8.5% 7.0% 1.6%
Jack Elkin 7.8% 9.8% 12.8% 11.9% 13.6% 12.2% 13.4% 10.6% 7.9%
Derek Poon Tip 6.8% 7.4% 7.8% 9.6% 10.5% 11.3% 15.2% 17.9% 13.5%
Maxwell Brill 10.3% 11.8% 12.4% 12.8% 13.3% 12.4% 10.7% 9.6% 6.7%
Brad Seferian 8.1% 10.2% 10.4% 10.5% 10.2% 12.3% 12.6% 13.1% 12.6%
Connor Bayless 15.9% 14.1% 15.5% 13.9% 13.4% 12.4% 6.8% 5.1% 2.9%
Augie Dale 25.5% 20.5% 17.1% 12.4% 10.5% 7.3% 4.4% 2.1% 0.2%
John Lawless 5.3% 5.6% 5.5% 7.8% 7.1% 11.9% 14.1% 17.1% 25.6%
Thomas McCann 5.2% 4.3% 5.8% 6.8% 8.0% 9.1% 14.3% 17.5% 29.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.