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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.49+4.70vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+3.00vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.08vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.75-0.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.27vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.60-0.59vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.57vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.25-3.91vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.06-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.0Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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4.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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3.04College of Charleston3.750.2%1st Place
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4.73U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.41Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.43SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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4.09U. S. Naval Academy3.250.2%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 15.9% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Augie Dale | 24.9% | 23.4% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Maxwell Brill | 11.5% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% |
| John Lawless | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 24.6% |
| Connor Bayless | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Thomas McCann | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 19.3% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.