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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+3.88vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.06+4.75vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.75+0.15vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.60+1.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.25-1.00vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.49-0.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.14vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-4.00vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.75Georgetown University2.060.0%1st Place
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3.15College of Charleston3.750.3%1st Place
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5.34Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.0U. S. Naval Academy3.250.2%1st Place
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5.65George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.86U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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6.37SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 6.7% |
| Thomas McCann | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 30.9% |
| Augie Dale | 25.3% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Brad Seferian | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 10.3% |
| Connor Bayless | 16.4% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 14.3% |
| Maxwell Brill | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 6.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 16.4% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| John Lawless | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.