← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jack Elkin 9.9% 11.4% 11.6% 10.9% 13.5% 13.3% 12.1% 10.6% 6.7%
Thomas McCann 3.8% 3.0% 5.6% 6.7% 8.6% 8.8% 13.5% 19.1% 30.9%
Augie Dale 25.3% 18.9% 17.4% 14.8% 10.0% 7.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Brad Seferian 6.8% 9.8% 10.3% 11.3% 11.2% 12.8% 13.6% 13.9% 10.3%
Connor Bayless 16.4% 18.3% 13.8% 12.1% 11.0% 9.6% 9.5% 6.0% 3.3%
Derek Poon Tip 6.3% 8.0% 8.2% 10.5% 10.7% 13.5% 14.7% 13.8% 14.3%
Maxwell Brill 9.4% 11.8% 10.8% 12.3% 14.1% 13.6% 11.2% 10.7% 6.1%
Liam McCarthy 16.4% 14.8% 16.2% 13.3% 12.4% 9.7% 8.2% 6.0% 3.0%
John Lawless 5.7% 4.0% 6.1% 8.1% 8.5% 11.4% 13.0% 18.3% 24.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.