← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.25+3.09vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.06vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.89+1.93vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.09vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.49+0.54vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.75-2.92vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.60-1.53vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.06-1.49vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.09U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
-
5.06U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
4.93Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
3.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
-
5.54George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
-
3.08College of Charleston3.750.3%1st Place
-
5.47Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.51Georgetown University2.060.1%1st Place
-
6.41SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bayless | 15.0% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 7.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 16.3% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 15.3% |
| Augie Dale | 25.1% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 10.4% |
| Thomas McCann | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 28.8% |
| John Lawless | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.