Race 1A

oyster-bowl-fleet

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Leo Boucher 22.9% 19.3% 17.5% 14.1% 10.3% 7.9% 5.1% 2.6% 0.3%
Nicholas Gartner 8.5% 9.3% 14.0% 13.6% 13.0% 13.1% 11.6% 11.9% 5.0%
Preston Tso 4.4% 5.4% 5.9% 8.3% 10.6% 11.0% 13.5% 19.9% 21.0%
Jack Brown 22.1% 22.5% 16.6% 15.3% 9.3% 7.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.5%
Matt Logue 14.3% 15.2% 14.1% 12.8% 12.5% 9.7% 10.8% 5.8% 4.8%
Clayton Snyder 7.7% 7.8% 10.1% 10.0% 11.7% 14.3% 16.3% 11.6% 10.5%
Joshua Paper 8.7% 9.8% 10.0% 10.8% 14.6% 14.2% 13.0% 11.6% 7.3%
Juan Lejarraga 8.0% 6.4% 7.7% 10.7% 11.6% 13.1% 13.9% 16.0% 12.6%
Colleen Baumann 3.4% 4.3% 4.1% 4.4% 6.4% 9.5% 11.4% 18.5% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.