Race 2A

oyster-bowl-fleet

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Leo Boucher 21.2% 20.8% 16.0% 16.5% 10.0% 8.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6%
Clayton Snyder 5.6% 6.1% 10.4% 11.1% 11.6% 12.6% 16.1% 15.2% 11.3%
Jack Brown 22.8% 18.8% 18.7% 12.5% 11.1% 9.3% 4.4% 1.9% 0.5%
Joshua Paper 8.8% 11.1% 11.4% 11.4% 13.7% 13.1% 12.5% 11.1% 6.9%
Matt Logue 13.6% 16.7% 13.8% 11.5% 12.6% 10.8% 9.2% 8.5% 3.3%
Nicholas Gartner 10.4% 11.3% 12.8% 13.8% 13.8% 12.0% 12.2% 8.6% 5.1%
Colleen Baumann 4.2% 2.8% 2.9% 5.8% 5.8% 8.3% 11.9% 19.7% 38.6%
Preston Tso 6.4% 4.9% 5.7% 7.6% 9.6% 12.2% 15.6% 15.7% 22.3%
Juan Lejarraga 7.0% 7.5% 8.3% 9.8% 11.8% 13.4% 13.5% 17.3% 11.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.