← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.23+2.27vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.43vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College2.05+2.71vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.16+1.33vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.68-0.76vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.92vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.50-2.30vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.33-0.98vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.76-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.27College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
-
3.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
-
5.71SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
-
5.33Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
-
4.24George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
-
5.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
4.7U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.02Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
-
6.22Georgetown University1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 23.8% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 20.2% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 13.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% |
| Matt Logue | 13.6% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 4.3% |
| Colleen Baumann | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 38.1% |
| Preston Tso | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.