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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.50+3.72vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+3.29vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.23+0.31vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.16+1.35vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.76+1.08vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68-1.72vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.29vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.33-1.02vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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3.31College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
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5.35Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.28George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.71SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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6.98Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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3.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Gartner | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Joshua Paper | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| Jack Brown | 23.2% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.8% |
| Preston Tso | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 20.5% |
| Matt Logue | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 12.6% |
| Colleen Baumann | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 38.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 23.1% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.