Race 1B

timme-tune-up

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Phillip Morley 11.2% 12.1% 13.2% 10.0% 13.4% 9.4% 10.9% 8.2% 5.6% 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Michael Cornew 19.3% 16.4% 17.0% 14.5% 9.4% 8.2% 6.9% 3.9% 2.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Aras Karaitis 6.0% 5.4% 7.6% 8.2% 9.9% 9.2% 10.7% 10.4% 11.3% 10.6% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8%
Adelaide Davis 6.9% 7.9% 8.2% 10.3% 11.2% 10.1% 9.6% 10.3% 11.7% 7.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
Drake Lundeen 23.1% 20.8% 15.3% 11.8% 9.9% 7.5% 5.2% 3.6% 1.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
David Oliver 8.9% 10.2% 10.2% 9.6% 9.9% 12.0% 9.5% 9.6% 9.2% 5.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Michael Kang 4.0% 3.9% 3.3% 5.0% 5.4% 6.7% 6.0% 8.3% 10.5% 15.3% 14.9% 12.8% 3.9%
Michael Hamel 5.2% 6.9% 4.8% 7.1% 7.3% 8.2% 10.3% 12.2% 11.6% 11.2% 9.3% 4.9% 1.0%
Bill Weiland 7.3% 6.0% 8.3% 10.4% 8.5% 10.7% 9.8% 10.6% 9.5% 9.4% 6.7% 2.0% 0.8%
Emily Fontaine 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 1.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.6% 5.0% 6.2% 11.2% 17.1% 24.4% 19.4%
Glen Ko 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 3.6% 3.5% 5.8% 12.1% 19.5% 48.1%
Kyle Bloch 1.1% 0.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 4.2% 5.5% 8.4% 15.0% 27.2% 24.3%
Rachel Barch 5.1% 7.3% 7.1% 8.8% 8.5% 10.3% 11.3% 10.1% 11.8% 10.1% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.