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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.52+2.74vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.03+3.50vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38-0.71vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.01+1.47vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.65-0.16vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.27-0.16vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.58-2.56vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Old Dominion University1.5215.4%1st Place
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3.06College of Charleston1.8124.2%1st Place
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6.5University of Miami-0.033.8%1st Place
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3.29Jacksonville University-1.3820.2%1st Place
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6.47North Carolina State University0.013.8%1st Place
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5.84Christopher Newport University0.656.4%1st Place
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6.84Florida State University-0.273.0%1st Place
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5.44Rollins College0.586.9%1st Place
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3.81University of South Florida1.0916.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 15.4% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 24.2% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 24.2% |
| Emily Allen | 20.2% | 19.3% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 22.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 12.6% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 30.4% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 7.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.2% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.