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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.16+4.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+2.61vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.10vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.68-0.02vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87+2.24vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.76-0.15vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.33-0.28vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.23-4.90vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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3.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
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3.98George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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5.85Georgetown University1.760.1%1st Place
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6.72Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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3.1College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
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5.3SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Snyder | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 6.6% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 23.7% | 20.5% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 14.4% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Booher | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 43.1% |
| Preston Tso | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 11.7% |
| Colleen Baumann | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 23.1% | 25.5% |
| Jack Brown | 24.3% | 22.9% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.