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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+2.09vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.28vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+1.11vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.33+2.58vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16-0.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.50-1.64vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.67vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.76-2.10vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
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3.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
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4.11George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.58Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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4.96Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.33SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University1.760.1%1st Place
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7.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 24.8% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 20.5% | 22.0% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Matt Logue | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Colleen Baumann | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 22.3% | 23.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 6.7% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 6.1% |
| Preston Tso | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 14.2% |
| Christopher Booher | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.