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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.12vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+1.23vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.16+2.18vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.68-0.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.50-0.70vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.76-0.17vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.33-0.30vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.05-2.73vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
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3.23College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
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5.18Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.98George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University1.760.1%1st Place
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6.7Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.27SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 24.7% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Brown | 20.6% | 22.9% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% |
| Matt Logue | 14.6% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Preston Tso | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 12.1% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 23.8% | 24.3% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 7.0% |
| Christopher Booher | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 20.9% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.