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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+2.09vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.68+2.21vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.76+1.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.50-0.69vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16-0.89vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.05-1.70vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-0.59vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.33-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
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4.21George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
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5.8Georgetown University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.11Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.3SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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7.41St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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6.66Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 24.7% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 24.5% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Preston Tso | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 13.7% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 11.9% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 6.4% |
| Christopher Booher | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 19.6% | 45.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 24.7% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.