Race 1A

sacred-heart

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joshua Stone 11.6% 14.0% 15.5% 14.4% 14.6% 12.7% 8.5% 5.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Joey Lark 20.7% 18.0% 17.7% 16.4% 9.6% 8.5% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Edward Coleman 17.7% 18.6% 17.8% 14.7% 13.8% 7.7% 5.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Brian Hayes 4.8% 6.2% 6.5% 8.3% 9.1% 12.9% 13.9% 16.4% 11.7% 7.4% 2.8%
Giles Ruck 3.5% 4.0% 4.3% 5.9% 7.1% 8.9% 10.6% 14.0% 14.8% 19.8% 7.1%
Timothy Burns 5.0% 7.0% 7.4% 7.3% 11.2% 11.8% 13.9% 12.5% 12.8% 8.4% 2.7%
Christophe Chaumont 24.7% 20.9% 15.9% 13.9% 10.2% 7.2% 3.5% 2.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Simon Rothman 3.8% 3.1% 3.9% 5.8% 7.6% 9.7% 12.5% 12.5% 16.3% 18.8% 6.0%
Ian Rashleigh McNally 3.6% 4.2% 4.9% 5.6% 7.5% 7.9% 13.0% 14.8% 15.6% 16.6% 6.3%
Nicholas Leshaw 4.0% 3.7% 5.1% 6.6% 7.8% 10.1% 10.6% 12.9% 16.2% 17.3% 5.7%
Sophia Rosahl 0.6% 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 2.7% 3.6% 6.9% 10.4% 69.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.